March 08 2020, 00:51

I found some interesting statistics. It turns out that in the USA during 2017-2018, “flu-like” diseases (influenza) affected 45,000,000 people, and 61,000 died from the flu. Thus, the death rate was 0.13%, and the incidence rate was 13.7%, or 13,700 per 100,000 people. In Russia, according to Kommersant, the incidence rate is 703 cases per 100,000 people, which equates to 1 million people across the country, or 0.66%. Thus, just looking at flu and similar illnesses, the official statistics show a 20-fold difference between the USA and Russia. As for flu deaths, according to the official Rosstat statistics in Russia, 87 people died from the flu in 2017. Compared to 61,000 in the USA. There’s no genetic barrier against the flu in Russia. Just something to note, for those who count and those who do not.

In the case of COVID-19, the death rate among those infected is 3.3%, which is certainly high. On the other hand, in the USA, 30 million people suffer from heart diseases and 647,457 deaths, which is 2.1% of the sick, but only among the sick – every tenth person. In Russia, 47% of all deaths (about 700K per year) are due to cardiovascular diseases. So, the statistics show that if a patient already has heart disease, the probability of dying from COVID-19 greatly increases. Obviously, if you already have it, you can’t just get rid of it, but it’s definitely time to think about health.

So, the best advice for non-elderly people to survive the era of “coronaviruses and others” – move more, get plenty of sleep, and eat right; and for the elderly – all the same, but try to do all this away from sick people.

And for children – not to worry at all. So far, out of three thousand, no one under 9 has been affected, and the age group “up to 45 years” has a death rate of 0.2% among registered cases. This also looks scary until you consider the number of unregistered cases and recovered individuals. For instance, if it suddenly turns out that traces of the virus are found in an additional hundred thousand healthy (already) people, the percentages will drop very quickly. The problem for now is that testing is still expensive and complicated.

https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/burden/2017-2018.htm

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