Navigating the Nexus: Harari on Information Networks and AI | January 19 2025, 16:42

Well, I finally finished reading Yuval Harari’s “Nexus: A Brief History of Information Networks from the Stone Age to AI.” Quite interesting, although I was expecting more controversy, especially from a historian who likely doesn’t quite understand what’s under AI’s hood. But it turned out to be quite good. The theses extracted from the book without context sound quite odd. For example, Harari writes that it would be more accurate to call AI Alien Intelligence—not because it possesses consciousness, but because its methods of thinking and problem-solving are completely alien to our human experience.

It’s particularly fascinating how he views political systems as information structures: democracy with its decentralized flow of information and autocracy with its drive for control. An attempt to understand how information governs us, our choices, and our societies.

Overall, the parallels drawn between the AI revolution and past historical events are quite intriguing. Harari cites examples of how social network algorithms aimed at increasing engagement have contributed (and continue to contribute) to the spread of misinformation and the fomenting of hatred. He references real cases, such as the tragic events in Myanmar, where Facebook was used to spread falsehoods that led to violence. Because falsehoods positively affected engagement—they simply got more clicks—and this function was optimized by Facebook for better advertising metrics. Ultimately, a relatively simple AI behind the newsfeed led to bloodshed.

I liked Harari’s example from Nick Bostrom’s book “Superintelligence,” which is a thought experiment. Bostrom suggests imagining a paperclip factory acquiring a superintelligent AI, and the factory manager assigns the AI, seemingly simple, the task of producing as many paperclips as possible. In pursuit of this goal, the computer takes over the Earth, destroys all humans, sends expeditions to capture additional planets, and uses vast resources to fill the entire galaxy with paperclip factories. The essence of the thought experiment is that the computer did exactly what it was instructed to do.

Of course, it’s hard not to notice that Harari sometimes succumbs too much to alarmism. For example, he describes AI as something already spiraling out of control, though there are many technical constraints that inhibit its development. Nevertheless, his book is not a prediction, but an invitation to a discussion. A discussion about how technologies change our understanding of truth, freedom, and even reality.

P.S. I also liked this fragment:

“…It’s no wonder that politicians around the world spend a lot of time and effort recounting historical narratives. The aforementioned example with Vladimir Putin is hardly an exception. In 2005, UN Secretary-General Kofi Annan first met with General Than Shwe, the then-dictator of Myanmar. Annan was advised to start the conversation first to prevent the general from monopolizing the talk, as the meeting was supposed to last only twenty minutes. But Than Shwe spoke first and almost for an hour about the history of Myanmar, leaving almost no opportunity for the UN Secretary-General to speak.”

Surprisingly, Harari did not include interviews with Tucker Carlson 🙂

Exploring M-DISC for Long-Term Photo and Video Archiving | January 19 2025, 13:05

So you have a photo and video archive and want to preserve it for your grandchildren and great-grandchildren. Where to store it? I did some research and found only one option, which is rather affordable overall.

First, why are the others not as good? Any cloud solution is potentially unreliable, as it depends on the long-term stability of the provider, risk of data loss due to cyber attacks or infrastructure failure, political processes, good air defense, and the need for ongoing payments.

CD/HDD/SDD/tape are generally better when maintaining control over humidity/temperature/lighting, but still, no one guarantees more than 20 years. A flash drive could start losing data as soon as in five years. Magnetic tapes are better, but they also gradually demagnetize, and accessing data is relatively slow — a special reader, which is quite niche, is necessary, and it’s unclear what the situation will be in 40-50 years, and they won’t last much longer than that.

It seems that the only remaining option is M-DISC discs. It is claimed that M-DISC has a lifespan of 1000 years. It is made from a durable inorganic material similar to stone, which does not degrade over time, heat, or light. It is supported by many modern DVD and Blu-ray drives, although an M-DISC-compatible drive is needed for recording. M-DISC capacity is 4.7 GB (DVD-R), 25 GB (BD-R), 50 GB (dual-layer BD-R), or 100 GB (BD-XL). Clearly, these are all write-once, essentially like carving into granite.

As for the cost — an external USB drive with BDXL M-DISC recording capability costs about $100, although there are options for $50, and BDXL discs cost about $10-12 each (100 GB).

Reflections on 2024: AI’s Ascent and Google’s Evolution | January 18 2025, 23:18

Reading an article in Wired, the link will be in the comments. It’s fascinating to see how people from the past envisioned 2024.

In 2002, Kevin Kelly, one of the founders of Wired, attended a small party organized by Google, which at that time had not yet gone public and was solely engaged in search technologies. At this event, he struck up a conversation with Larry Page, Google’s co-founder, who later, in 2011, became the CEO of the company (and left the position in 2015).

Kelly asked Page a question that seemed sensible at the time:

— Larry, I still don’t understand. There are so many companies doing search. Free web search? Where is this going?

At that time, Google had not yet implemented its advertising sales scheme through auctions and had not made major acquisitions like YouTube. Many, including Kelly, doubted that Google would last long.

Page then replied:

— Oh, actually, we are making AI!

Years later, when Google had acquired 14 companies working in the fields of AI and robotics, Kelly often reflected back on that conversation. At first glance, it might seem that Google uses its AI resources to improve search, because search then generated 80% of the company’s revenue. However, Kelly wrote in his 2014 article that the opposite is true: Google uses search to enhance its AI.

Every time a user enters a query, clicks on a link or creates a link on the internet, they train Google’s AI. For example, by searching for “Easter bunny images and selecting the most appropriate one, a person teaches the system what an Easter bunny looks like. As of 10 years ago, when the article was written, 1.2 billion users made 12.1 billion queries daily, continuously training AI.

Interestingly, in that 2914 article Kelly was confident that by 2024, Google would create AI and it would gradually become the main product.

Well, here we are in 2024, and as of today 82% still comes from the same advertising. But still, 2024 became the year of AI and Google is among the key players (along with a dozen others).

Interestingly, the Larry-predicted formula from the article – add AI to everything indiscriminately and you get a new startup – worked out

“…In fact, the business plans of the next 10,000 startups are easy to forecast: Take X and add AI…”

He writes in 2024 that for AI, progress in three areas is critical:

1) GPU/parallel computation for training models

2) Big Data for training models

3) Algorithms that we have yet to conceive

“… This perfect storm of parallel computation, bigger data, and deeper algorithms generated the 60-years-in-the-making overnight success of AI.”

Exploring the Global Reach and Unique Development of SQLite | January 18 2025, 17:00

Discovered a plethora of interesting facts about SQLite. For those unaware — it is likely the most widespread database in the world. It’s utilized everywhere: from smartphones to cars and rockets. The scale of deployment — over _a trillion_ instances, billions of active copies worldwide. In your phone, dozens of applications use it.

Initially, SQLite emerged from the need to ensure reliable database operations on the USS Oscar Austin destroyer.

It is supported by _three people_. They do not admit external contributors. You can’t just send a pull request and hope the patch will be approved. SQLite’s development is backed by the company Hwaci. Interestingly, they seem to be involved in music too. Their website is extremely succinct. Office in a private house.

For each line of SQLite code, there are over 600 lines of test code. Tests cover 100% of branches (and 100% MC/DC) of the library. The test suite is highly diverse, including fuzzing tests, boundary value tests, regression tests, and tests simulating operating system crashes, power failures, I/O errors, and out-of-memory errors. Originally, SQLite was an extension of Tcl, and its main test suite is written in Tcl.

Interestingly, some SQLite tests are proprietary. The TH3 (Test Harness 3) test suite, which provides one hundred percent code branch coverage, is proprietary, and access to it is restricted.

I know of no other project that is open-source yet has paid tests.

To gain access, one must join the SQLite Consortium with an annual membership fee of 120 thousand dollars.

This is an interesting business model. Developers generate profit through licenses, paid support, service maintenance, consortium membership, and commercial extensions.

SQLite does not have a Code of Conduct (CoC); instead, they use a Code of Ethics derived from the “kinds of good deeds” from chapter 4 of the Rule of Saint Benedict. Google SQLite Code of Ethics, it’s a very intriguing document.

At the beginning of all source files, instead of legal notices, there is a blessing: “In place of a legal notice, here is a blessing: May you do good and not evil…”

SQLite creator Richard Hipp (D. Richard Hipp, DRH) couldn’t find any version control system that suited him, so he created his own called Fossil. Of course, Fossil is based on SQLite.

It reminded me of how Linus wrote Git.

DRH also wrote his own parser generator called Lemon.

All the above is described in more interesting details (and expanded) in an article on Habr, which is a translation into Russian of an article by Avinash Sajjanshetty. For originals — check the comments

Revolutionary Tales in Print: Gutenberg, Luther, and the Dawn of Mass Communication | January 18 2025, 00:18

Excellent! Why haven’t I heard of Ivan before? Such a cool interview. There’s so much that I want to quote. Here’s almost a random excerpt that I liked:

“…I like to give the example of a ‘startuper’ named Johann Gutenberg. Yes, by today’s standards, he would be a CTO. He invented the printing press, he invented printing technology, which is a technology that made it possible to disseminate information on a scale that was previously impossible. Then radio became that kind of technology, then television, then the internet. There he made the printing press, but he wouldn’t have ‘gone far’ with his press alone. There are examples of people who made similar printing presses but didn’t become as famous.

So what was the trick? He found himself a good CEO. This CEO lived nearby. Martin Luther. He came to Gutenberg, looked at the press and said: ‘We’ll print the Bible because it’s unclear what else to print.’ And Gutenberg says, ‘Fire, what an idea!’ They started printing the Bible in Latin, but people didn’t read it, it was unclear what was written. Let’s translate it, – yes, the CEO says: ‘We need to print the Bible in German, then it will sell well.’ You know, wait, people are illiterate. The CEO thinks we need pictures, so they went to a designer. What was the designer’s name? His name was Dürer, he also lived nearby in the same city. He drew engravings, the engravings in the Bible went down well with those who couldn’t read, and the texts went down well with those who could. And then Luther went to sell it. Well, to give out, to sell, here the story varies, but one way or another – boom, just an explosion, a new technology! People started to think on top of it: ‘Okay, the Bible is cool, but everyone has already bought the Bible, what will be our next theme?’ Yeah, kind of, and then someone gets carried away and says: ‘Ho, a book ‘How to recognize a witch’. That’s a theme that really takes off. A lot of people died because the books ‘How to recognize a witch’ spread mass. Essentially, fake news’.”

This is certainly a beautiful story, but Luther and Dürer were born several years after Gutenberg’s death, which Ivan definitely knows, but with this fact, the beautiful story just doesn’t hold up.

UPDATE: Ivan replied to my comment on YouTube: “…I actually got it mixed up. Lisa and the team added a clarification, and I wrote about this in response to another comment. I meant Hans Lufft and Cranach. They worked with Luther. The first printed, the second illustrated.”

Also, I can’t remember whether it was him or Ilia Strebulaev from a recent ‘Editors’ video, mentioned that in the early years of Google as a startup, there were already search engines on the market, but Google eventually displaced them all and now holds 93% of the market. I tried to recall what these search engines were, and besides AltaVista and Yahoo, nothing much came to mind. Guess I’m not old enough yet. Started researching. Besides altavista (1995-2013), these were lycos, excite (1994), infoseek (1995), hotbot (1996), webcrawler (1994-2001), ask jeeves (1996), yahoo (1994).

Definitely listen to Ilia Strebulaev too. He talks about venture in the Valley.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TxBBzRp0lcM

Discoveries Underwater, Online, and Under Anesthesia | January 16 2025, 22:18

Some novelties for me. Sharing, as they’re likely new for you too. About bulbous bows on ships, about how the body of water under the Paris Opera from “The Phantom of the Opera” actually exists, about how 70% of all global internet traffic passes by my house, and about how no one really knows how general anesthesia or paracetamol works.

= First Discovery =. Large ships may have this thing in front, called a bulbous bow. I didn’t understand what it was for, it seems to disrupt hydrodynamics. Turns out, it’s quite the opposite. It improves it. It creates a counter wave that partially offsets the main bow wave occurring when the ship is moving — especially at high speeds and for large vessels. Each ship’s bulb is designed individually.

= Second Discovery =. Remember “The Phantom of the Opera”? There was a body of water under the Paris Opera where Erik and Christine sailed. Well, it’s not fictional. There really is a body of water beneath the Paris Opera House.

The opera house required a much deeper basement space beneath the stage than other types of buildings, but the groundwater level turned out to be unexpectedly high. In February 1862, wells were drilled and in March eight steam pumps were installed, which operated around the clock, yet the site remained damp. To solve this problem, Garnier designed a double foundation to protect the structure from moisture. The design included waterways and a huge concrete tank (cuve), meant to reduce the pressure of the external groundwater on the basement walls and to serve as a reservoir in case of fire. The construction contract was signed on June 20. Soon, a persistent legend arose that the opera house was built over an underground lake, inspiring Gaston Leroux to include this idea in his novel “The Phantom of the Opera”.

= Third Discovery = Of course I knew it was a lot, but today I saw the number — 70% of internet traffic passes through a place just about 10 minutes from where I live. Around me, more than 130 data centers have been built covering an area of three million square meters. Quite a thrilling neighborhood. I hope no ill-wishers will mark this place on the map with a cross. This cluster specifically consumes about 150 TWh, which by my estimates is like ___THREE MOSCOWS___.

= Fourth Discovery = It turns out that no one really knows how general anesthesia works. There are theories in Wikipedia on how anesthesia functions. But though they exist, none of them is completely convincing. In 2019, it was found that human-like anesthesia even works on plants, like on a mimosa and on a venus flytrap—they stop responding to touch under it. Not to mention, as everyone knows, plants don’t have a central nervous system at all. Not a brain, not even neurons. There’s also xenon anesthesia. Meaning, it’s fundamentally an inert substance, doesn’t react with anything, but somehow works. They recently figured out how aspirin works, but there’s still no full understanding of paracetamol.

Exploring the iBot: A Leap in Personal Mobility Technology | January 11 2025, 00:34

Today I finally made it to the exhibition Paris 1874: The Impressionist Moment – over an hour in line. Nadya says – look at that interesting wheelchair.

Nadya and I had been wheeling her dad around for many years. He fell ill, ended up without legs, and the wheelchair literally became an extension of him in everyday life. Just your “basic” wheelchair. We took him to the Black Sea by car several times, traveled abroad, and of course experienced all the “delights” of accessibility in Russia. Actually, I don’t even know how to translate “accessibility” into Russian properly. “Barrier-free environment”? It was not barrier-free, it was downright threateningly barriered. For example, we simply couldn’t get to the doctor at the clinic because the elevator was too narrow.

So, back to the wheelchair in the photograph. It’s the iBot by Mobius Mobility. It’s no longer customary to call them “wheelchairs,” it’s a “personal mobility device.” It operates both in balancing mode, where only two wheels are used — essentially, like a Segway, and in a four-wheel mode when terrain handling is needed. In two-wheel mode, the seat raises to a height of 91 cm, allowing the seated individual to be more or less at eye level with others. It also has a mode for climbing/descending stairs — that’s really cool. The range is 35 km in balance mode.

The iBot was invented by the same guy who invented the Segway — Dean Kamen. Overall, this startup is several years old, with several generations of the iBot already released.

Yes, the price of such a device ranges from 32 to 40 thousand dollars. Quite a lot. But it’s said that about half can be covered by insurance (still a lot, though).

There are a few people around us in wheelchairs. And there were few in Russia too. But in Russia, there were few because they just couldn’t leave the house, and each outing for the family or companion turned into a project that would be good to plan in advance. Here in the USA, there are few for another reason. Here, in case of problems, they don’t just hand out a wheelchair, they give a new leg or a new joint. And only if it’s completely irrepairable, then they resort to a wheelchair. Yes, such operations can cost a fortune for people without insurance, it’s a known problem, but usually, some charitable foundations are found.

For example, near our house is the organization ECHO (Every Citizen Has Opportunities). Besides helping financially with adjusting to a new way of life, they offer jobs to people who land in such trouble, they also provide free transportation (to work, to the store, etc.) and socialization.

Exploring the Boundaries of AI in Dreyfus’s Pioneering Work | January 10 2025, 01:40

Currently skimming through a book, Dreyfus (1972) – What Computers Can’t Do – The Limits of Artificial Intelligence. In it, across 300 pages, the author convincingly, with numerous references to scientific papers, argues that, for example, programming a chess game is impossible, and intuitive and situational human tasks, such as understanding natural language, are even more profoundly unprogrammable.

The conclusion of the book is that instead of striving for complete autonomy, AI researchers should focus on enhancing human intelligence and exploring the fundamental differences between human and machine minds. They should probably read this book first.

And 53 years later, I am using AI to translate and extract key ideas from this book.

Hubert Dreyfus passed away 7 years ago. Overall, he probably began to suspect long ago that things were not as he had written in the book, because in 1992 he wrote a second series “What Computers Still Can’t Do”.

But the funniest thing is that the 1972 book was printed in Russian in 2010 and can be purchased; it is still widely sold on “Ozone” for 976 rubles. Labeled as NEW!

Snowfall and Monsters: Unveiling the Apocalypse Hellfire 6×6 | January 06 2025, 14:19

We had snowfall, and monsters began to appear on the roads.

This is the Apocalypse Hellfire 6×6, a product of Apocalypse Manufacturing. It’s based on a Jeep Gladiator with an 800 horsepower engine. Overall, Apocalypse has quite a lot of different designs, and they are all superb from a design standpoint.

In terms of brutality and design, the renders on the website look somewhat better than this particular instance. Perhaps the workshop invests more into aesthetics each year, and on the road, we encountered something from “past collections.”

Plumbing Repairs | January 03 2025, 17:12

Called a plumber for the first time in nine years of living in the USA (yesterday marked exactly nine years!). A threaded connection at the entrance to the water heater burst. Forked out almost 500 bucks for the repair. No birthday discounts were available. Watched the process. Noticed a new tool I hadn’t seen before. It’s a portable pipe press. Asked about it. Costs $4500. The technician says he has three more, slightly different in size and purpose, totaling nearly 10K. Greatly speeds up installation and generally increases reliability due to the absence of threaded connections (though, if something happens, again you’ll need a technician with cutting and crimping equipment).